Explore Australian housing affordability from 1980 to 2025. Compare home prices, incomes, deposits and mortgage costs, alongside construction and population. Choose your measures and years, then move through the chart to see what changed—and what the numbers mean.
Created · Historical data through December 2025
1980—202546 years. Your comparison.
20% deposit · 80% loanExcludes duty, fees and schemes.
Default comparison: 2000 and 2025. Home price relative to annual household income: 3.27× and 5.75×. The 2000 home price is estimated; the 2025 household count is projected. These are national illustrations, not individual buyer outcomes.
Key events
Chart data
SIDE BY SIDE
Compare your years.
Yearly comparison
Selected measures compared by purchase or reference year
THE COST OF TIME
What does a longer loan cost?
Same loan assumptions. Different repayment terms.
View the repayment-term table
Behind the numbers.
Data release · 7 September 2026
This tool brings together Australian home prices, household income, mortgage rates, housing supply and population in one historical comparison. Rate Challenge compiles the figures from ABS, RBA, BIS and named historical publications. The sections below explain each measure, how it is calculated, where estimates are used and what the results cannot tell us.
Published estimate means a figure reported by a source, which may still be revised or sampled. Calculated comparison means we combine stated inputs. Illustration means we apply assumptions, such as a 20% deposit. The ⓘ next to a measure explains which it is and links directly to its calculation and source notes below.
Home prices, building & the housing market
What does this comparison show about Australian housing affordability?
Buying a home has three different hurdles: the price, saving a deposit, and paying the mortgage. A low interest rate can reduce repayments without making the deposit smaller. This explorer separates those questions instead of assigning one score to an entire generation.
In this national comparison, a home represents 3.27 times annual household income in 2000 and 5.75 times in 2025. The prices, income definition and deposit assumptions below explain that comparison; they are not the finances of a typical first-home buyer.
National dwelling benchmark and estimated mean household income; nominal Australian dollars
Measure
2000
2025
Home-price benchmark
$208,813
$1,044,350
Mean annual household income
$63,874
$181,553
Assumed 20% deposit
$41,763
$208,870
Home price / income
3.27×
5.75×
The 2000 price is reconstructed from the historical index. The 2025 income uses a projected household count. Household income is the national-accounts mean after tax and before interest—not a wage, median household income or first-home-buyer income. The price includes the deposit and loan principal once only.
From 2012 to 2025, the price measure uses the supplied ABS national mean dwelling-value estimates, averaged across the four quarters of each year. It covers dwellings, not only detached houses. A mean is not the same as a median or the price of a typical first home.
For 1980–2011, the project uses movements in the BIS nominal residential-property-price index for eight Australian cities, linked to the full-year 2012 national mean of $490,300. These earlier dollar figures are reconstructed benchmarks, rather than directly observed national mean prices. The city index and national dwelling measure are not identical in coverage.
Recorded older prices are also available for individual cities and regions. Those are local medians and cannot simply replace an Australia-wide mean.
The chart does not follow the same home through time or isolate changes in dwelling quality and composition. Dollar amounts are nominal—the money of the period—not inflation-adjusted purchasing power.
An Australia-wide dwelling-value benchmark, covering houses and other homes—not just detached houses.
How it is worked out
From 2012, average the four quarterly ABS national mean dwelling values. For 1980–2011, link the movements in the BIS eight-city nominal price index to the 2012 annual national mean of $490,300.
Where the data comes from
ABS national dwelling-value estimates and the BIS index carried by FRED. These are the retained project inputs, including historical revisions; not newly recaptured observations.
Earlier dollar values are reconstructed, not recorded national sale-price averages. A mean is not a median or the price of the same home through time. Amounts are in the dollars of each period, not inflation-adjusted.
Explore recorded prices by city and region
These local price records let you look beyond the national estimate. Choose houses or units, then compare places. They are published local medians—not the national mean used in the affordability calculations above.
Fromto
Recorded house prices
Annual published medians · gaps are not zero
Sources and coverage ⓘ
The earlier tables draw on Valuers-General, land records, REIA and CBA/HIA. The later tables reproduce ABS transaction medians. Many annual figures are averages of quarterly medians, not the median of every sale in that year. Property types, coverage and the homes being sold can change.
Some early numbers were estimated or linked by the original authors. They are hidden by default. You can include them below; the chart then marks them as estimates. Fiscal-year Queensland observations and half-year 2003 values are not presented as full calendar years. Source and geographic changes break the line instead of being smoothed over. Growth across those changes is descriptive, not a like-for-like property-price index.
City records run as far as 2024; rest-of-state records here run to 2022. Availability differs by place. The recovered 2025 city figures cover only the first two quarters, so this annual chart does not invent a 2025 average.
This does not change the national affordability model. We have not averaged local medians into a national mean, added regional repayments against a national income, or interpolated missing prices.
What do approvals, starts and completed homes measure?
Approvals count dwelling units given permission to build. Starts count dwellings where construction began. Completions count finished dwellings. These are separate stages—not the same group of homes progressing from one stage to the next within that year.
Annual approvals add 12 monthly source counts, and annual starts and completions add all four quarters. No partial year is multiplied up to look complete. Approvals and starts use the archived seasonally adjusted source series. Completion counts retain the project’s separate quarterly series. The full original metadata for that completion history has not been independently recaptured in this edition.
Homes under construction is the number of new residential dwellings still being built at the end of the December quarter. It is a stock at one point in time. Summing four quarterly snapshots would count unfinished homes repeatedly, so the explorer does not do that. This new-residential count is narrower than the ABS total including some conversions and other dwelling categories.
These numbers are not net additions after demolitions or a direct measure of a housing shortage. Approvals, completion timing, household size, vacant dwellings and local demand all affect how much housing is available.
Permission to build new dwelling units across Australia.
How it is worked out
Add all 12 monthly counts from the archived seasonally adjusted ABS-source series.
Where the data comes from
Historical values are reused from the project’s archived ABS-source extract. The named ABS releases supply definitions and selected checks, not a fresh recapture of every historical observation. Complete periods are required; missing periods are not scaled up.
An approval is not a finished home. Approvals, starts and completions within a year are not the same group of projects.
New private-sector houses approved
Published counts, aggregated
What it shows
Private-sector house approvals, rather than all types of housing.
How it is worked out
Add all 12 seasonally adjusted monthly private-house approval counts.
Where the data comes from
Historical values are reused from the project’s archived ABS-source extract. The named ABS releases supply definitions and selected checks, not a fresh recapture of every historical observation. Complete periods are required; missing periods are not scaled up.
Excludes apartments and other non-house dwellings. Private-sector coverage is narrower than total home approvals.
New homes started each year
Published counts, aggregated
What it shows
Dwelling units whose construction began during the year.
How it is worked out
Add the four quarterly commencement counts from the archived seasonally adjusted ABS-source series.
Where the data comes from
Historical values are reused from the project’s archived ABS-source extract. The named ABS releases supply definitions and selected checks, not a fresh recapture of every historical observation. Complete periods are required; missing periods are not scaled up.
A start is not a completed home. It need not share a year with the approval or completion of that project.
New homes completed each year
Published counts, aggregated
What it shows
Dwelling completions in the retained ABS-source history.
How it is worked out
Add all four quarterly completion counts for each calendar year.
Where the data comes from
Historical values are reused from the project’s archived ABS-source extract. The named ABS releases supply definitions and selected checks, not a fresh recapture of every historical observation. Complete periods are required; missing periods are not scaled up.
This is finished construction, not the net increase in housing after demolitions or conversions. The full original historical completion-series metadata has not been independently recaptured.
Homes still being built · year end
Published year-end count
What it shows
New houses and other new residential dwellings under construction at the end of the December quarter.
How it is worked out
Use the December-quarter count only. Do not add the four quarterly snapshots.
Where the data comes from
Historical values are reused from the project’s archived ABS-source extract. The named ABS releases supply definitions and selected checks, not a fresh recapture of every historical observation. Complete periods are required; missing periods are not scaled up.
A snapshot of unfinished construction, not an annual flow. It excludes some conversions and other categories included in the broader ABS dwelling total.
Homes completed per 1,000 residents
Calculated supply comparison
What it shows
Homes completed during the year relative to the whole population—not just people added that year.
How it is worked out
Annual home completions ÷ December population × 1,000.
Where the data comes from
Retained ABS-source completions and the project’s population estimates. It carries the coverage and reconstruction limitations of both inputs.
Not an estimate of a housing shortage. It does not account for demolitions, vacant homes, household size or where people and homes are located.
How are building costs, house size and material prices measured?
Average house build cost is the published Australian average construction cost of completed new detached houses. It excludes land and landscaping. It is not a median sale price, current builder quote, or land-and-house package. Averages can change because the size, quality and mix of completed homes change—not only because materials or labour became more expensive.
The completed-house tables cover 2007–08 to 2024–25 financial years. The point marked 2025 therefore means July 2024–June 2025. The same time labels stay attached to average floor area and the indicative cost-per-square-metre calculation. Other lines mainly use calendar years or December snapshots; no missing half-year figures are invented to align them.
Build cost per square metre divides the published average cost by the published average floor area. It is a ratio of averages, not an average of individual project quotations. Building-material prices uses the ABS material-input index for house construction; it is an index, not the whole build cost. Building prices (all buildings) is a separate broader output-price index that includes non-residential as well as residential construction. It is deliberately not called a house-only index.
Both recovered price indexes cover 2013–2025 and are averaged across four quarters. Their source base is 2011–12 = 100. Growth view can rebase them again to the first shared positive year, but it never creates a dollar price from an index.
Average construction cost of completed new detached houses in Australia, excluding land and landscaping.
How it is worked out
Use the national financial-year averages in the published Master Builders NSW tables based on ABS Building Activity.
Where the data comes from
Transcribed national tables in Master Builders Association of NSW, Cost of Constructing Australian Homes (May 2026), drawing on ABS Building Activity. This is a published-table source, not a new original ABS workbook capture.
2007–08 to 2024–25 financial years; the axis uses the ending year.
Keep in mind
Not a builder quote, house-and-land package or median sale price. The sizes, quality and mix of houses completed can change the average, as well as building prices.
Average new-house floor area
Published average
What it shows
The average floor area of new detached houses in the same annual construction tables.
How it is worked out
Use the published national average floor area for each financial year.
Where the data comes from
Master Builders NSW’s May 2026 ABS-based tables, national floor-area column. 2025 on the axis means the 2024–25 financial year.
The index covers six capital cities and does not cover the whole cost of labour, land or a finished build. Older uncollected years stay blank; no dollar price is generated from the index.
All-building construction prices · index
Published broad price index
What it shows
Price movements in building construction across houses, other residential buildings and non-residential buildings.
How it is worked out
Average the four quarterly ABS building-output index values each year. The source base is 2011–12 = 100.
Where the data comes from
ABS Producer Price Indexes, December 2021 and December 2025 published building-construction tables, retained in the project.
This is deliberately broader than housing. It excludes land and is not a house-only cost index or a dollar quote.
Income, households & population
What does “household income” mean here?
It is an estimated mean annual income per household built from the ABS national accounts, not a single wage, median salary or the income of the average first-home buyer. It includes income beyond wages and does not follow one family's earnings, employment or retirement through time.
The project starts with household gross disposable income and adds back dwelling, consumer and unincorporated-business interest payable before dividing by the estimated number of households. Income tax is already taken into account; it is not deducted a second time. Using disposable income before interest avoids reducing the income denominator by the financing expense being compared.
Mean household income = annual household disposable income before interest ÷ number of households
The household counts use published estimates from different releases and interpolation between selected estimates. Counts for 2022–2025 are projections. The main view withholds 1980–1990 income figures because the earlier household counts are less certain. “Include 1980–1990 estimates” shows the separate rough annual estimates, with labels; it does not turn them into observed facts or fill missing lifetime-income results.
How large the home-value benchmark is compared with one year of the national household-income estimate. A value of 5× means five times that yearly income.
1991–2025 in the main view. Rough 1980–1990 income estimates are optional and off by default.
Keep in mind
Not the number of years needed to buy or repay a home: living costs, saving rates and mortgage interest still matter. This is a national average, not a typical buyer’s income or a wage. Some household counts are interpolated and 2022–2025 counts are projections. Earlier home values are reconstructed where used.
Average household income · national estimate
Calculated national estimate
What it shows
Estimated yearly income per household across Australia. It is after income tax, with interest expense added back for this comparison, and includes more than wages.
How it is worked out
Add dwelling, consumer and unincorporated-business interest payable to annual household gross disposable income, then divide by the estimated number of households.
Where the data comes from
ABS National Accounts household income account plus household estimates from several ABS releases and the 2021-base projections. The full household-count source history is retained below.
1991–2025 in the main view. Rough 1980–1990 income estimates are optional and off by default.
Keep in mind
This is not take-home wages, median household income or first-home-buyer income. It includes national-accounts concepts and does not follow one family. Household counts include interpolation and 2022–2025 projections.
How are the survey mean and median household incomes compiled?
The two survey-income measures use gross income before income tax from the ABS Survey of Income and Housing (SIH). They include household income beyond wages. The median is the middle household: half have more and half have less. The mean is the average and can be pulled upwards by high incomes. Neither is adjusted for household size (“equivalised”), and neither describes only first-home buyers.
We transcribed the mean and median gross-income columns in the published ABS Household Income and Wealth, 2019–20 web table. It contains 11 survey periods from 2000–01 to 2019–20. Its weekly figures are expressed in 2019–20 dollars, so they cannot be placed unchanged alongside the explorer’s historical dollar home prices.
To show approximate dollars of each period, we reverse that inflation adjustment using the ratio of financial-year CPI averages, then multiply by 52. The CPI average uses the September and December quarters of the first year and the March and June quarters of the ending year. The 2019–20 CPI mean is 115.65 in the retained 2011–12 = 100 series.
Annual income equivalent = published weekly income in 2019–20 dollars × CPI for the survey financial year ÷ CPI for 2019–20 × 52
The source weekly values and CPI inputs are rounded published figures. The result is therefore a derived nominal estimate, marked with ≈ for the converted periods—not a fresh capture of an exact nominal SIH workbook. Multiplying by 52 creates an annual equivalent; it does not reproduce the survey’s separately collected annual-income variable or a household’s actual income receipts for a year.
For example, the 2019–20 median gross weekly household income is $1,786. Multiplying by 52 gives a $92,872 annual equivalent. No CPI conversion is needed in that base period. The original source weekly amount, conversion, period and sources remain in the selected chart CSV.
Only survey years are populated. 2020 on the axis means 2019–20. Dotted lines connect survey points as a visual guide; they do not fill missing years. There are no SIH projections after 2019–20 in this edition. Changes in income measurement, including the 2003–04 improvements and the 2007–08 income standards change, affect comparisons; the income line is interrupted at 2007–08. Sampling variability means small changes need not be statistically significant.
The main Household income line remains the national-accounts mean after tax and before interest. The survey measures do not replace it, recalibrate it or change its mortgage scenarios. Their different coverage and tax basis explain why they should not be read as competing estimates of exactly the same quantity.
The median before-tax income of surveyed households: half had more and half had less. It includes income beyond wages.
How it is worked out
Convert the published weekly income from 2019–20 dollars back to approximate dollars of the survey period using financial-year CPI, then multiply by 52.
Annual income equivalent = published weekly income in 2019–20 dollars × survey-financial-year CPI ÷ 2019–20 CPI × 52. CPI is the mean of the four quarters in that financial year. The rounded inputs make earlier conversions approximate. A point at 2020 means 2019–20, and a break marks the 2007–08 income-definition change.
Where the data comes from
ABS Household Income and Wealth 2019–20, Graph 1 (gross-income columns), with the retained ABS CPI series. The chart does not use the SIH comparison-workbook totals as per-household income.
11 survey financial years from 2000–01 to 2019–20. No values between surveys or after 2019–20 are filled in.
Keep in mind
Not a wage, first-home-buyer income or income adjusted for household size. It is before tax, unlike the main national-income estimate. Multiplying by 52 gives an annual equivalent, not actual annual receipts. Survey changes affect comparisons.
Average household income · survey
Survey estimate + calculated dollar conversion
What it shows
The mean before-tax income of surveyed households. Higher incomes can pull this above the median; it includes more than wages.
How it is worked out
Convert the published weekly income from 2019–20 dollars back to approximate dollars of the survey period using financial-year CPI, then multiply by 52.
Annual income equivalent = published weekly income in 2019–20 dollars × survey-financial-year CPI ÷ 2019–20 CPI × 52. CPI is the mean of the four quarters in that financial year. The rounded inputs make earlier conversions approximate. A point at 2020 means 2019–20, and a break marks the 2007–08 income-definition change.
Where the data comes from
ABS Household Income and Wealth 2019–20, Graph 1 (gross-income columns), with the retained ABS CPI series. The chart does not use the SIH comparison-workbook totals as per-household income.
11 survey financial years from 2000–01 to 2019–20. No values between surveys or after 2019–20 are filled in.
Keep in mind
Not a wage, first-home-buyer income or income adjusted for household size. It is before tax, unlike the main national-income estimate. Multiplying by 52 gives an annual equivalent, not actual annual receipts. Survey changes affect comparisons.
What do the surveyed owner and renter housing-cost figures mean?
Why keep survey results as well as the loan model? The model asks what a new 80% mortgage would cost under the same rules in each year. The survey describes existing mortgage owners or private renters, with different balances and circumstances, using their own before-tax incomes. Both are useful, but one cannot be substituted for the other. The survey does not tell us how long buyers took to save a deposit.
These two measures retain the ABS-published housing costs as a proportion of gross household income for owners with a mortgage and households renting from a private landlord. There are twelve survey-period results from 1999–00 to 2019–20. Each ratio relates to its own tenure group, not to the income of all Australian households.
For these statistics, housing costs include rent, general and water rates, and mortgage or unsecured-loan payments where the original purpose was to buy, add to or alter the occupied dwelling. The owner measure therefore includes qualifying principal and interest, not interest alone. It does not include every cost of ownership, such as all maintenance and insurance. Rent Assistance is included in income rather than deducted from housing costs.
The 2019–20 published ratios are 15.5% for mortgage owners and 20.2% for private renters. These are not the percentages of households in housing stress, median rents, a first-home-buyer result or a new-loan repayment estimate. Existing owners have different loan balances, incomes and stages of repayment from the standardised new-purchase mortgage in the main illustration.
We do not recalculate these percentages using the national-accounts income, infer mortgage interest rates from them, or fill unsurveyed years. Compare them as reported survey context alongside—not as a replacement for—the modelled repayment share.
Housing costs as a share of before-tax household income for surveyed owners with a mortgage. This describes real surveyed households at different stages of their loans.
How it is worked out
Retain the ABS-published housing-cost-to-gross-income percentage for this ownership group. Do not divide it by the explorer’s national-income estimate.
Where the data comes from
ABS Housing Occupancy and Costs 2019–20, Graph 3; SIH housing-cost definitions. The ratio relates to mortgage owners’ own income group, not all households.
12 survey financial years from 1999–00 to 2019–20; only published survey points.
Keep in mind
Includes qualifying mortgage principal and interest and general/water rates, but not all maintenance or insurance. Not just a loan payment, a new-buyer scenario or the percentage of households in stress. It is not directly interchangeable with the modelled repayment share.
Income spent on housing · private renters
Published survey ratio
What it shows
Housing costs as a share of before-tax household income for households renting from a private landlord.
How it is worked out
Retain the ABS-published percentage for the private-renter group, using its own income measure.
12 survey financial years from 1999–00 to 2019–20; only published survey points.
Keep in mind
Not median rent or the percentage of renters in housing stress. Rent Assistance is included in income rather than deducted from housing costs. Owners and renters have different incomes and cost definitions.
How are full-time earnings and “one wage” comparisons compiled?
Full-time earnings · reference uses before-tax full-time adult ordinary-time earnings for persons, multiplied by 52 to express an annual equivalent. It is not a median salary, a household’s combined income, take-home pay, or a worker’s actual annual receipts. Ordinary-time earnings and total earnings including overtime are different measures.
For 1981–82, we use the late-year observations in Table 3 of the supplied ABS Average Weekly Earnings, Australia, 1941–1990, catalogue 6350.0 (printed page 6; PDF page 8). The 1981 late-year figure is $278.50 per week and the 1982 figure is $324.80. These are the persons/full-time-adult/ordinary-time column, not the male-only total-earnings series.
For 1983–2025, we select one annual reference from the Commonwealth Superannuation Corporation’s published ABS earnings table: the entry with a period ending on 31 October of that year. CSC describes its rate as based on ABS trend full-time adult ordinary-time earnings. We retain the original period label and publication date, including releases in the following year; the period label is not treated as a measured full-year average.
This produces a source-linked, published-vintage late-year reference, not a freshly downloaded single-vintage ABS original or annual-average series. The chart marks the 1983 source change. Full-time earnings before 1981 are not fabricated by substituting the older male-only figures. ABS also cautions that its historical linked earnings series is more suited to trends than definitive levels at every earlier date.
Annual earnings equivalent = weekly reference × 52 Home price vs one full-time wage = national dwelling-price benchmark ÷ annual earnings equivalent
The price-to-one-wage comparison combines the existing annual dwelling benchmark with a late-year earnings reference. Pre-2012 prices remain estimated. It does not assume that one wage is every household’s actual income, deduct tax or living expenses, or establish a borrowing limit. Changes in the employee mix can affect average earnings even without a uniform pay rise.
An annual equivalent of full-time adult ordinary-time pay for persons, before income tax. Ordinary-time pay is different from total pay including overtime.
How it is worked out
Multiply one late-year weekly reference by 52. Use the ABS historical Table 3 for 1981–82 and CSC’s published ABS reference for the period ending in October for 1983–2025.
Where the data comes from
ABS Average Weekly Earnings, 1941–1990 (Table 3, persons/full-time adult/ordinary time), followed by Commonwealth Superannuation Corporation’s ABS-based references. Original period and publication dates are retained.
Not median pay, take-home pay, household income or a worker’s actual annual earnings. A linked late-year reference—not one uniform annual-average ABS series. A break marks the source change in 1983.
Home price compared with one full-time wage
Calculated comparison
What it shows
The national home-value benchmark compared with one annual before-tax full-time earnings reference—not a household’s combined income.
Not a saving time or borrowing limit. No tax, living costs or second earner is modelled. Home values use annual benchmarks while earnings use a late-year reference; pre-2012 values remain reconstructed.
How were the SIH comparison workbooks and data-item list used?
The supplied SIH–ASNA income comparison and SIH–ASNA wealth comparison workbooks reconcile survey estimates with the Australian System of National Accounts. Their population income, asset and debt amounts are aggregate totals—often in billions of dollars—not average household incomes or sale prices. Their scope adjustments, including non-cash items where applicable, are not applied as an unexplained correction factor to this explorer.
Data Comparability between SIH and other ABS Sources helps explain survey coverage and household characteristics, including comparison with other ABS collections. SIH 2019–20 Data Item List identifies variables and definitions; it is a catalogue, not a file of household responses. The historical earnings PDF supplies the early earnings reference described above.
These files are retained in the internal source package, with their original names and hashes. The added survey chart values come from the separately identified published ABS tables. We have not presented the aggregate wealth workbook as a new house-price series or claimed to have extracted first-home-buyer deposits from the variable list.
Survey scope, measurement and timing differ from national accounts. Retaining both well-named comparisons gives useful perspectives without confusing their definitions. The model’s fixed 20% deposit and standard repayment terms remain deliberate assumptions, not measured averages inferred from these workbooks.
How do population and migration fit the housing comparison?
Population is estimated resident population at 31 December, rounded to 100 people. People added each year is the change between consecutive December levels. Population growth is the percentage change over the year to December. These are national population measures, not the number of households or homes required.
The archived project export retained exact annual population-growth ratios, rather than its original level column. The explorer restores the earlier rounded levels by reversing that calculation from the published ABS December 2025 anchor. No guessed growth rate is used. Every recovered level lands on the original 100-person rounding; the 2004–2025 levels also reconcile to the separately published ABS annual growth balances within 50 people. The earlier years retain the archived ratios rather than a fresh original-workbook recapture.
Net overseas migration sums all four archived quarterly observations. The source chart rounded each quarter to 0.1 thousand people. A negative value is valid: it means departures exceeded arrivals on the population-residency measure. It is not a count of all border crossings, and changes in statistical methods can affect comparisons over decades.
Homes completed per 1,000 people divides annual completions by the December population and multiplies by 1,000. It helps compare home building in a smaller or larger Australia. It does not account for demolitions, household size, vacant homes or where demand is located, so it is not an exact housing-shortage calculation.
Estimated residents in Australia at 31 December, rounded to 100 people.
How it is worked out
Restore earlier levels backwards from the published December 2025 ABS anchor using the project’s retained annual growth ratios, then round to 100 people.
Where the data comes from
ABS National, state and territory population, December 2025, plus retained project growth ratios. The project’s 2004–2025 restored levels were checked against separately published population balances; older levels retain the stated recovery method.
Statistical estimates, not exact census headcounts. Earlier levels were restored from retained growth ratios rather than freshly downloaded as a complete historical level series.
Population increase each year
Calculated annual change
What it shows
The change in the number of Australian residents over a year, including natural increase and net migration.
How it is worked out
December population − the previous December’s population.
Where the data comes from
Calculated from the retained ABS-based population levels described above, including their historical recovery and rounding.
Uses rounded population levels, so small rounding differences can occur. It is not just overseas migration, new households or the number of extra homes required.
Annual population growth · %
Retained growth-rate series
What it shows
Percentage growth in estimated residents over the 12 months to December.
How it is worked out
Use the stored annual growth ratio. The relationship is (December population ÷ previous December population − 1) × 100; displayed rounded population levels may differ slightly.
Where the data comes from
Exact annual growth ratios retained from the project’s ABS-source population chart, rather than a new forecast or new source capture.
Can be negative. Not a count of border crossings, visas, households or homes needed. Source methods and revisions affect comparisons.
Mortgages, rates & repayments
Why are there different mortgage rates—and how far back do they go?
Advertised benchmarks describe published reference rates. They are not the average rate borrowers obtained after discounts. New loan averages describe newly funded loans; existing loan averages describe loans already on lenders' books. The modern averages here are for owner-occupier principal-and-interest loans and include fixed and variable loans. Owner-occupier means a borrower living in the property; principal-and-interest repayments pay back the borrowed amount as well as interest.
Standard variable rate
Advertised benchmark. Monthly and complete-year coverage: 1980–2025.
Discounted variable rate
Advertised benchmark. Monthly: June 2004–December 2025. Complete years: 2005–2025.
3-year fixed rate
Advertised benchmark. Monthly: September 1990–December 2025. Complete years: 1991–2025. Three years is the fixed-rate period, not the full repayment term.
Existing owner-occupier variable principal-and-interest loans in the securitisation sample. Monthly: June 2015–January 2020. Complete years: 2016–2019. Not the whole mortgage market.
The older sample is not joined to the modern new-loan or existing-loan average: their coverage differs. We have not established an equivalent observed new-loan average back to 1980. No line on this page is the RBA cash rate or a fees-inclusive comparison rate.
All rates use one captured RBA version dated 7 September 2026, restricted to observations through December 2025. The discounted benchmark has a documented reporting change in June 2019. Its monthly line is interrupted there, and the annual 2019 value is shown separately. The reporting effect is not quantified, so no adjustment is invented.
The yearly rate selected under More options for the starting repayment illustration. It is not necessarily an average rate paid by borrowers.
How it is worked out
Take the arithmetic mean of all 12 monthly observations from the selected standard-variable, discounted-variable or new-loan-average series. Partial years stay blank.
Where the data comes from
The named source inputs are retained in this fixed data edition; this is not a live data feed.
Standard variable: 1980–2025. Discounted variable: 2005–2025. New-loan average: 2020–2025.
Keep in mind
The first two choices are advertised benchmarks; the third is an average on new owner-occupier principal-and-interest loans. This selection does not set the separate lifetime-interest rate path.
Advertised standard variable rate
Advertised benchmark
What it shows
A headline-style variable home-loan rate before individual borrower discounts.
How it is worked out
Use the stored RBA monthly observations. A yearly value is the arithmetic mean of all 12 months; incomplete years stay blank.
Owner-occupier means the borrower lives in the home. Principal-and-interest payments repay the amount borrowed as well as interest. For the new and existing averages, the RBA monthly figures are already weighted averages; this annual calculation does not reweight months by lending volume.
Where the data comes from
RBA series FILRHLBVS, from the project’s single 7 September 2026 capture; observations stop in December 2025.
Not the average rate paid, the cheapest offer, the RBA cash rate or a fees-inclusive comparison rate.
Advertised discounted variable rate
Advertised benchmark
What it shows
A published discounted-variable home-loan reference, not an average of all new or existing borrowers.
How it is worked out
Use the stored RBA monthly observations. A yearly value is the arithmetic mean of all 12 months; incomplete years stay blank.
Owner-occupier means the borrower lives in the home. Principal-and-interest payments repay the amount borrowed as well as interest. For the new and existing averages, the RBA monthly figures are already weighted averages; this annual calculation does not reweight months by lending volume.
Where the data comes from
RBA series FILRHLBVD, from the project’s single 7 September 2026 capture; observations stop in December 2025.
Monthly: June 2004–December 2025. Complete-year averages: 2005–2025.
Keep in mind
A reporting change occurs in June 2019. The monthly line is broken there; the 2019 annual average combines both sides and is marked separately. No estimated correction is applied.
Advertised 3-year fixed rate
Advertised benchmark
What it shows
The advertised rate for a home loan with a three-year fixed-rate period.
How it is worked out
Use the stored RBA monthly observations. A yearly value is the arithmetic mean of all 12 months; incomplete years stay blank.
Owner-occupier means the borrower lives in the home. Principal-and-interest payments repay the amount borrowed as well as interest. For the new and existing averages, the RBA monthly figures are already weighted averages; this annual calculation does not reweight months by lending volume.
Where the data comes from
RBA series FILRHL3YF, from the project’s single 7 September 2026 capture; observations stop in December 2025.
Monthly: September 1990–December 2025. Complete-year averages: 1991–2025.
Keep in mind
Three years is the fixed-rate period, not the whole loan term. This series is not used as a constant lifetime mortgage rate.
Average rate on new home loans
Published average rate
What it shows
Average rates on newly funded owner-occupier principal-and-interest home loans, including fixed and variable loans.
How it is worked out
Use the stored RBA monthly observations. A yearly value is the arithmetic mean of all 12 months; incomplete years stay blank.
Owner-occupier means the borrower lives in the home. Principal-and-interest payments repay the amount borrowed as well as interest. For the new and existing averages, the RBA monthly figures are already weighted averages; this annual calculation does not reweight months by lending volume.
Where the data comes from
RBA series FLRHOFP, from the project’s single 7 September 2026 capture; observations stop in December 2025.
Monthly: July 2019–December 2025. Complete-year averages: 2020–2025.
Keep in mind
Not just first-home buyers, not investment loans and not a fees-inclusive comparison rate. No equivalent observed series back to 1980 is included.
Average rate on existing home loans
Published average rate
What it shows
Average rates across outstanding owner-occupier principal-and-interest home loans, including fixed and variable loans.
How it is worked out
Use the stored RBA monthly observations. A yearly value is the arithmetic mean of all 12 months; incomplete years stay blank.
Owner-occupier means the borrower lives in the home. Principal-and-interest payments repay the amount borrowed as well as interest. For the new and existing averages, the RBA monthly figures are already weighted averages; this annual calculation does not reweight months by lending volume.
Where the data comes from
RBA series FLRHOOP, from the project’s single 7 September 2026 capture; observations stop in December 2025.
Monthly: July 2019–December 2025. Complete-year averages: 2020–2025.
Keep in mind
Existing deals and unexpired fixed-rate periods can differ from new loans. It does not follow the same borrowers through time and does not include investment loans.
Older variable-loan rate · sample only
Published sample average
What it shows
Average rates on existing owner-occupier variable loans with principal-and-interest repayments in the RBA securitisation sample.
How it is worked out
Use the stored RBA monthly observations. A yearly value is the arithmetic mean of all 12 months; incomplete years stay blank.
Owner-occupier means the borrower lives in the home. Principal-and-interest payments repay the amount borrowed as well as interest. For the new and existing averages, the RBA monthly figures are already weighted averages; this annual calculation does not reweight months by lending volume.
Where the data comes from
RBA series FILRSAVOPI, from the project’s single 7 September 2026 capture; observations stop in December 2025.
Monthly: June 2015–January 2020. Complete-year averages: 2016–2019.
Keep in mind
A sample of loans, not the whole market. It is not joined to the later fixed-and-variable average and is not an average on new loans.
Why do monthly charts and yearly comparisons sometimes differ?
Monthly charts are available when all selected measures are mortgage rates. Adding home prices, income or another annual measure returns the chart to yearly values. Annual prices are not repeated as invented monthly observations.
A yearly rate is the arithmetic mean of all 12 stored monthly observations. Incomplete years stay blank. For the paid-rate series, those monthly observations are already published weighted averages; the annual figure is not reweighted by the value of lending in each month.
The hover box and Explore panel follow the selected chart frequency. The side-by-side year table uses complete-year values even when the chart is monthly. In a monthly chart, A–D comparison markers are placed at December. The older and modern paid-rate series overlap monthly in 2019–2020, but do not share a complete annual year, so they cannot form a common-base annual growth comparison.
How are repayments and lifetime mortgage interest worked out?
Starting monthly repayments use the selected year's complete annual-average rate, the original 80% loan and the chosen 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, 30 or 35-year repayment term. Starting-rate choices are the standard-variable benchmark, discounted-variable benchmark and new-loan average, within their available years.
Monthly repayment = L × r ÷ [1 − (1 + r)−n] L is the loan; r is the annual percentage rate ÷ 1,200; n is the term in months. At a zero rate, repayment = L ÷ n.
Starting repayments as a share of income equal 12 monthly payments divided by annual household income. This is not a lender's serviceability test or an observed measure of borrower stress.
Total mortgage interest uses a separate monthly model, starting in January at the purchase year's annual price benchmark. Each month, interest is applied to the remaining balance and the payment is recalculated over the remaining term. This means the starting rate is not held unchanged for the entire mortgage.
The “Historical rates + recent averages” path uses the standard benchmark through June 2019, followed by the existing owner-occupier principal-and-interest average from July 2019. “Standard variable rates only” keeps the advertised benchmark throughout. These are reference paths, not individual loan contracts. The discounted rate, three-year fixed rate and older sample are not silently substituted into a lifetime path. No extra repayments, offsets, redraws or refinancing costs are included.
“Home price + interest” adds the original purchase price and modelled mortgage interest. The price already contains both the deposit and borrowed principal; they are not added twice. “Interest on $100,000” scales interest to an initial $100,000 loan, removing the effect of different home prices. These totals are nominal amounts, not inflation-adjusted or discounted values.
Starting monthly repayment · estimate
Modelled loan payment
What it shows
The monthly principal-and-interest payment on the assumed 80% mortgage, using the selected loan term and starting-rate series. Principal means the money borrowed.
How it is worked out
Apply the standard loan-payment formula to the original 80% loan, that year’s average selected rate and the chosen number of repayment months.
Monthly payment = L × r ÷ [1 − (1 + r)^(−n)]. L is 80% of the home value; r is the annual percentage rate divided by 1,200; n is the term in months. At a zero rate, payment = L ÷ n. The selectable terms are 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, 30 and 35 years.
Where the data comes from
Rate Challenge calculation using the retained price, income and RBA rate inputs, as applicable. The 20% deposit and loan term are assumptions, not measured averages of borrowers.
1980–2025 with the standard rate; 2005–2025 with discounted variable; 2020–2025 with the new-loan average.
Keep in mind
A starting-payment illustration, not the amount real borrowers paid. The selected rate is not held fixed for the separate lifetime-interest calculation. No fees, offsets or extra repayments are modelled.
Income used for repayments · estimate
Modelled income share
What it shows
The starting loan payments expressed as a share of the national household-income estimate. For example, 30% means $30 of every $100 of that income measure.
Rate Challenge calculation using the retained price, income and RBA rate inputs, as applicable. The 20% deposit and loan term are assumptions, not measured averages of borrowers.
1991–2025 in the main view. Rough 1980–1990 income estimates are optional and off by default. The selected starting-rate series can shorten coverage.
Keep in mind
Not an observed borrower burden or a mortgage-stress test. The model assumes a new 80% loan; the survey housing-cost measures describe existing owners and use a different, before-tax income definition.
Total interest over the loan · estimate
Modelled lifetime total
What it shows
Interest over the selected term on the assumed 80% mortgage. It excludes repayment of the original borrowed amount.
How it is worked out
Start the model in January of the purchase year. Each month, apply the selected historical rate to the remaining balance, recalculate the payment over the remaining term and add that month’s interest to the total.
The combined path uses the standard-variable benchmark through June 2019, then the average existing owner-occupier principal-and-interest rate from July 2019. The other path uses the standard-variable benchmark throughout. Totals add nominal dollars across payment years without inflation adjustment or discounting.
Where the data comes from
Rate Challenge calculation using the retained price, income and RBA rate inputs, as applicable. The 20% deposit and loan term are assumptions, not measured averages of borrowers.
1980–2025, within the selected inputs’ available years.
Keep in mind
Any payment months after December 2025 use fixed scenarios: 5.50% on the combined rate path, or 8.02% on the standard-variable-only path. Neither is a forecast. There are no extra repayments, offsets, redraws or refinancing costs. Historical scenarios are also illustrations, not observed loan histories.
Home value plus loan interest · estimate
Modelled total — not all ownership costs
What it shows
The purchase-year home-value benchmark plus the modelled mortgage interest over the selected term.
How it is worked out
Original home value + total modelled mortgage interest.
Where the data comes from
Rate Challenge calculation using the retained price, income and RBA rate inputs, as applicable. The 20% deposit and loan term are assumptions, not measured averages of borrowers.
1980–2025, within the selected inputs’ available years.
Keep in mind
The home value already includes the deposit and borrowed principal, so neither is added again. Duty, fees, LMI, maintenance, insurance and other ownership costs are excluded. Any payment months after December 2025 use fixed scenarios: 5.50% on the combined rate path, or 8.02% on the standard-variable-only path. Neither is a forecast. There are no extra repayments, offsets, redraws or refinancing costs.
Total interest per $100,000 borrowed
Modelled rate-and-term comparison
What it shows
Lifetime interest scaled to an initial $100,000 loan. This removes different home prices so the comparison focuses on rates and time to repay.
How it is worked out
Total modelled mortgage interest ÷ original modelled loan amount × $100,000.
Where the data comes from
Rate Challenge calculation using the retained price, income and RBA rate inputs, as applicable. The 20% deposit and loan term are assumptions, not measured averages of borrowers.
1980–2025, within the selected inputs’ available years.
Keep in mind
It is the total over the selected term, not yearly interest or a current quote. Any payment months after December 2025 use fixed scenarios: 5.50% on the combined rate path, or 8.02% on the standard-variable-only path. Neither is a forecast. There are no extra repayments, offsets, redraws or refinancing costs.
Which results use future assumptions or uncertain historical estimates?
The historical cutoff is 31 December 2025. A mortgage that continues beyond that date needs assumed rates for later months. The combined historical path uses 5.50% after 2025; the standard-variable-only path uses 8.02%. Future household-income calculations assume 3% nominal growth each year. These are fixed scenarios, not forecasts or promises.
A 2025 purchase over 30 years has 12 reference months in 2025 and 348 assumed payment months afterwards. That does not make its lifetime cost an observed historical fact. Older scenarios fully within the historical window are still modelled loans rather than records of actual borrower outcomes.
Dashed segments and small labels identify reconstructed prices, rough older income, projected household counts or totals with future payments. A gap is not zero. Enabling the older annual income estimates does not fill unsupported lifetime-income figures. Changing chart units or indexing does not remove those limitations.
Does a longer loan mean better affordability—and how long did people really take?
A longer term can lower monthly repayments while increasing total interest. The explorer uses the same chosen term across purchase years rather than assigning a supposed typical payoff time to each generation.
The available evidence does not establish a precise national first-purchase-to-mortgage-free duration for every historical cohort. A loan account can end through refinancing or a sale, and the amount of interest also depends on when repayments occurred. We therefore do not treat assumed terms as observed payoff times. A five-year payment may be impractical, and a 35-year loan is not assumed to have been offered to every borrower.
“Repayment share over time” averages each month's repayment divided by that month's household-income measure. It does not follow the same family, and a longer term includes more income years. A lower average share alone is not proof that a longer loan is better overall. Read it alongside interest dollars and starting repayments.
Average repayment share of income · estimate
Modelled average income share
What it shows
The average percentage of monthly national household income used for the modelled repayments over the full selected term.
How it is worked out
For each month, divide the modelled repayment by that month’s household-income estimate and multiply by 100. Then average those monthly percentages.
Any payment months after December 2025 use fixed scenarios: 5.50% on the combined rate path, or 8.02% on the standard-variable-only path. Neither is a forecast. There are no extra repayments, offsets, redraws or refinancing costs.
Where the data comes from
Rate Challenge calculation using the retained price, income and RBA rate inputs, as applicable. The 20% deposit and loan term are assumptions, not measured averages of borrowers.
Purchase years 1991–2025 where supported. The older-income switch does not fill missing lifetime-income results.
Keep in mind
Not one family’s earnings history and not total payments divided by total lifetime income. A longer term includes different income years, so a lower percentage does not mean a cheaper loan. Future income grows at an assumed 3% a year, not a forecast.
Using the chart, deposits & affordability
What can this housing affordability chart tell me?
This interactive page from Rate Challenge looks at three parts of buying a home: the price and deposit needed to get started, the income needed for repayments, and the interest added over the life of a mortgage. These can tell different stories. A lower mortgage rate can reduce starting repayments without reducing the price or deposit.
Choose up to four measures and compare up to four purchase or reference years. Keep the same repayment term across years to compare like with like. The figures describe a benchmark Australian dwelling and a national household-income measure—not a particular home, suburb or first-home-buyer family.
This is an illustrative comparison, not an affordability score, valuation, borrowing limit, loan quote or lending assessment. A change in one measure is not a complete verdict on which generation had it harder, and two lines moving together do not establish that one caused the other.
What does “start at 100” mean—and what is the original value?
Actual values show the selected measure in its own units: dollars, interest rates, percentages of income, income multiples or years. Mortgage-rate measures can share a percentage axis. The home-building flow measures can also share a count axis. Other measures have separate charts so that different units and stock-versus-flow concepts are not mixed.
Compare growth puts every selected line at 100 on the first date in your chart range with a usable, positive value for all those measures. Each later point shows the change relative to that shared starting point.
Index = value at the selected date ÷ value at the starting date × 100
An index of 150 means the value is 50% higher than at the start. In a comparison starting in 1991, the 2025 home-price value of $1,044,350 is about 714.5 on the index: a rise of about 614.5%, not 714.5%. Changing the starting date changes the index, but not the original dollar amount.
The hover box and Explore panel show both numbers. “Value” means the original figure behind the index; it can still be an estimate or a modelled scenario. The side-by-side year table always uses original values. Adding a measure with a shorter history can move the shared starting date forward. Dates before that point are not indexed, even when an original value is available for one line.
An index is not an inflation adjustment or a percentage interest rate. For rates and percentages, the difference between two original values is expressed in percentage points; the growth index shows relative change instead.
How are deposits, loan sizes and saving years calculated?
Every purchase year assumes a 20% cash deposit and an 80% mortgage. For a $500,000 home that means a $100,000 deposit and a $400,000 loan. These are consistent modelling assumptions, not observations of what buyers borrowed or saved on average.
Deposit = home price × 20% Loan = home price × 80% Home price vs income = home price ÷ annual household income Deposit vs income = deposit ÷ annual household income × 100
“Years to save a deposit” divides that deposit by either 10% or 20% of annual household income, as selected in More options. Home prices and incomes are held unchanged during the saving period, and savings earn no return. Rent and living expenses are not separately calculated. This is a simple comparison, not a forecast of how long someone will actually need.
The core comparison excludes transfer duty, historical mortgage duty, LMI, legal and registration fees, lender charges, direct buyer assistance and ongoing ownership costs such as maintenance, insurance and council rates. Those costs are outside scope, not assumed to be unimportant. Lower-deposit purchases and scheme eligibility are not modelled here.
20% deposit amount
Illustration
What it shows
The assumed cash deposit for buying at that year’s national home-value benchmark.
How it is worked out
Home-value benchmark × 20%.
Where the data comes from
Rate Challenge illustration using the retained ABS/BIS home-value benchmark. The deposit is fixed at 20% of the home value; it is an assumption, not a measured historical average.
20% is a consistent comparison assumption, not the average deposit buyers actually paid. No duty, legal fees, LMI or buyer assistance is included.
20% deposit as a share of yearly income
Illustration
What it shows
The assumed 20% deposit expressed as a percentage of one year of the national household-income estimate. 115% means 1.15 years of that income.
How it is worked out
(Home-value benchmark × 20%) ÷ annual household income × 100.
Where the data comes from
Rate Challenge illustration using the retained ABS/BIS home-value benchmark and ABS-based national household-income estimate. The deposit is fixed at 20% of the home value; it is an assumption, not a measured historical average.
1991–2025 in the main view. Rough 1980–1990 income estimates are optional and off by default.
Keep in mind
This is not the amount saved each year and does not assume a household saves all its income. This is a national average, not a typical buyer’s income or a wage. Some household counts are interpolated and 2022–2025 counts are projections. Earlier home values are reconstructed where used.
Years to save a 20% deposit
Illustration — not observed saving time
What it shows
How many years of saving the selected 10% or 20% of annual household income would equal a fixed 20% deposit, starting with no deposit savings.
How it is worked out
20% deposit amount ÷ annual amount saved. Annual amount saved = household income × the selected saving rate (10% or 20%).
The deposit is always 20% of the home value. The separate saving rate is 20% of annual income by default, with 10% also available. At a 20% saving rate, the number of years equals the home-price-to-income ratio; at 10% it is twice that ratio. These are different ways to explain the same underlying comparison, not independent historical evidence.
Where the data comes from
Rate Challenge illustration using the retained ABS/BIS home-value benchmark and ABS-based national household-income estimate. The deposit is fixed at 20% of the home value; it is an assumption, not a measured historical average.
1991–2025 in the main view. Rough 1980–1990 income estimates are optional and off by default.
Keep in mind
Home value and income stay unchanged while saving, savings earn no interest, and rent and living costs are not calculated separately. This does not measure how long historical buyers actually saved. Duty, fees and assistance are excluded.
Mortgage amount · 80% of home value
Illustration
What it shows
The assumed initial mortgage after a 20% deposit.
How it is worked out
Home-value benchmark × 80%.
Where the data comes from
Rate Challenge illustration using the retained ABS/BIS home-value benchmark. The deposit is fixed at 20% of the home value; it is an assumption, not a measured historical average.
Not an observed average mortgage or a borrowing limit. Purchase costs and insurance premiums are not added to the loan.
Historical events & policy changes
Which events are shown—and do they explain the changes?
Show key events adds a fine timeline with small ⓘ markers. Select one to open the date, explanation and original sources. There are no event labels covering the lines or shaded areas changing the chart’s emphasis. Nearby dates share a marker when space is limited.
A marker for a longer episode is positioned at its start, or at the left edge when the episode began before your selected range. The full period remains in its explanation. When events are grouped, the marker is positioned between their start dates; the explanation gives each exact date. These markers are historical context, not evidence that a policy or event caused a particular movement. They do not add tax deductions, grants or assistance to the mortgage scenarios.
Use Tab or the left/right arrow keys to move through the markers; Enter or Space opens an explanation and Escape closes it. On phones, the same explanation opens in a readable panel.
1982–1983 — 1982–83 recession
Australia experienced recession in the early 1980s. The stated period shows the calendar years used for context, not exact turning points in every housing measure.
After 17 July 1985 — Negative gearing: rental restrictions
Restrictions limited the offset of rental-property losses against other income for affected new property investments. This changed existing negative-gearing treatment; it did not introduce negative gearing.
Capital gains tax was introduced for assets acquired after 19 September 1985, subject to exemptions and rules. The housing chart does not calculate individual tax liabilities.
1 July 1987 — Negative gearing: deductions restored
The rental-loss restrictions introduced in 1985 were reversed with effect from 1 July 1987. The annotation records the rule change, not a claim about how much it changed house prices.
The early-1990s recession forms part of the backdrop to housing, population and mortgage-rate changes. The displayed years are a broad historical window.
A capital-gains discount was introduced for qualifying gains, with a 50% discount for eligible individuals and trusts and a holding-period requirement. This is historical context, not current tax advice.
The technology-share boom reversed during the early 2000s. The dates follow the RBA’s historical event window; it does not imply Australia experienced recession throughout these years.
GST and the First Home Owner Grant began on 1 July 2000. The grant was introduced to offset the effect of GST on home ownership. Grants and purchase taxes remain excluded from the core illustration.
Severe stress in global financial markets and banking systems developed from mid-2007 to early 2009. The stated period is an approximate context window, not a measured causal effect on the Australian lines.
APRA introduced a supervisory benchmark around investor-housing credit growth of 10% a year. It was not a rule limiting investors to 10% of all loans. The benchmark was later removed for qualifying lenders in 2018.
APRA introduced a benchmark limiting interest-only loans to 30% of new residential mortgage lending. It was removed from 1 January 2019 for qualifying lenders, subject to APRA’s conditions.
Pandemic containment measures and economic disruption intensified in March 2020. This marker identifies the onset; it does not assign a single end date to all pandemic effects.
HomeBuilder supported qualifying new builds and substantial renovations with eligible contracts dated 4 June 2020 to 31 March 2021. Approval, start and completion effects need not occur in the same year. No grant is deducted in the core finance illustration.
The RBA began increasing the cash-rate target on 3 May 2022; it reached 4.35% on 7 November 2023. Cash rates are not the same as the mortgage-rate measures in the explorer.
Read the dollars, percentages or counts directly. Different kinds of measure normally have separate panels.
Try: mortgage-rate comparisons or the number of homes completed.
Compare growth
See which measure changed faster, from a shared starting point of 100. An index of 150 means 50% above that measure’s starting value.
Try: home prices with household income, earnings or building costs.
Combo · automatic scales
Keep the original units while exploring two different measures together. The labelled axis map shows which series uses the left or right scale.
Try: home price with mortgage rate, or homes completed with population growth.
Growth uses the first shared positive observation within your selected dates. It does not compare the size of the original values. Zero or negative series, such as net migration, are usually clearer in Actual values or Combo. The original figure is always available alongside the index.
In Combo, population and homes are not the same unit. Monthly mortgage payments are also kept distinct from home-price dollar amounts. Three or more distinct scales create extra panels automatically. Shared percentage axes still have different definitions: a mortgage rate is not a repayment-to-income ratio.
Do not interpret crossings or similar-looking lines on different scales as proof of a relationship or cause. No missing period is invented to make a chart look complete.
How is the complete dataset put together?
We combine published statistical estimates, retained source files and transparent calculations. A source estimate is not the same as a guessed number, and a calculated value is not relabelled as an observed result. The explorer keeps each measure’s unit, reference period, coverage and source. It does not replace a missing observation with zero.
National home prices
Four-quarter national mean dwelling values from the ABS for 2012–2025. For 1980–2011, the annual BIS nominal eight-city price index is scaled to the 2012 national dollar mean. The earlier dollar values remain estimates, not directly observed national averages. Price method.
Recorded local prices
Published city/region house and unit histories, retained separately from national means. Source-linked or source-estimated local figures are optional. A mean, median, quarterly-median average and national stock value are not silently combined. Local price sources.
Main household income
Retained ABS national-accounts household disposable income, with the stated interest payments added back, divided by household counts. Counts include published estimates, interpolation and recent projections. This is a mean after tax and before interest. Income formula.
Survey income and housing costs
Published ABS Survey of Income and Housing results, at the survey’s financial-year dates only. Before-tax mean and median incomes are shown as annual equivalents; housing-cost ratios remain the published tenure-group percentages. Survey compilation.
Individual earnings
Before-tax full-time adult ordinary-time earnings references, multiplied by 52. The early ABS archive and later CSC-published ABS references retain their source change and reference dates. This is not a household income or actual annual salary. Earnings method.
Mortgage rates
One captured RBA version per measure. Monthly observations are kept; annual averages require twelve months. Advertised rates, paid-rate averages and the older sample remain distinct. Rate sources and coverage.
Deposits and mortgage costs
20% of the benchmark price is the assumed deposit; 80% is borrowed. Starting repayments use a chosen annual rate, while lifetime interest follows the selected monthly rate history and remaining loan balance. Future periods use disclosed scenarios. Loan calculations.
Home building
Complete-year sums of monthly approvals and quarterly starts/completions. Under-construction figures are December snapshots, not sums. Archived source adjustment and coverage differences are retained. Construction compilation.
Building costs and price indexes
Published financial-year completed-house costs and floor areas; indicative cost per square metre divides the corresponding averages. Materials and broad building-price indexes retain their own units and coverage. Cost definitions.
Population and migration
Retained population-change evidence; population levels restored from the archived growth ratios and a published ABS anchor, rounded to 100. Annual changes and completion-per-population ratios are derived separately. Population compilation.
Historical events
A source-linked date register, separate from numerical calculations. A selected period or policy date provides context, not a quantified causal effect. Event dates and sources.
Growth comparisons
Original value divided by the first shared positive value, multiplied by 100. This presentation calculation changes the scale, not the original value. Read the index.
The internal compilation retains original supplied files or the transcribed published table, source identifiers, transformations, coverage and checks. Not every historical original workbook has been independently downloaded again. Where a figure comes from the retained research extraction, an HTML table, a PDF transcription or a secondary published reference, the method says so. A later source release may revise an earlier year without adding 2026 observations.
How are dates, missing values, estimates and updates handled?
Dates stay attached to their meaning. A calendar-year total, financial-year survey result, December stock and late-year earnings reference are not the same period. The short chart label identifies the reference year; the original period is retained in the tooltip, Explore panel, data and detailed method. Combining them in a growth view is an illustrative comparison, not a matched household or transaction panel.
No missing value becomes zero. Complete-year rate averages require twelve monthly points, and annual building flows require all expected periods. SIH observations appear only in surveyed years. A shared growth index requires a positive value for every selected measure on its starting date. Negative migration values can still appear afterwards; an index does not turn them into a positive count.
Calculations and observations are distinguished. Reconstructed prices, CPI-converted survey-income equivalents, projected household counts and future mortgage payments retain their descriptions. Display rounding does not imply precision to the dollar. A series break is not silently repaired by choosing another population or rate definition.
This is a fixed release, not a live data feed. Observations stop in 2025, and survey coverage can finish earlier. The sources include different publication dates. A later release may revise earlier observations; the source register identifies the version or capture used. Historical numerical inputs have not all been independently recaptured from original workbooks for this interface.
Checks cover units, arithmetic, preserved blanks, complete periods, source labels, original values versus growth indexes, and responsive interactions. These checks do not remove sampling uncertainty, source revisions or differences between the national benchmark and an individual buyer. A future update should retain the prior source files and document material changes, rather than publish duplicate near-identical lines.
This page loads only the published results needed for the selected comparison. The source archive and processing code are stored separately from the website. Figures displayed in a chart or downloaded in a selected CSV are public results; they are not a copy of the complete research archive.
Sources, dates and how to cite this page
Prepared by Rate Challenge. Study period: 1980–2025. Data release: 7 September 2026. This edition uses a fixed set of research figures, not live mortgage quotes. Some source publications are later than 2025 because they revise historical values; no observed 2026 value is included.
Australian Bureau of Statistics — dwelling values.Total Value of Dwellings, March quarter 2026 provides historical revisions used for 2025. The wider 2012–2025 four-quarter national series is retained from the research inputs.
Bank for International Settlements / FRED — historical price index.Residential Property Prices for Australia, QAUN628BIS and the BIS series Q.AU.N.628. Earlier nominal index movements are linked to the 2012 national-dollar anchor. Attribution: National sources, BIS Residential Property Price database.
Australian Bureau of Statistics — household income.Australian National Accounts, household income account (Table 20). The retained inputs include gross disposable income and the interest components described above. They were not all independently downloaded again when this display was prepared.
Australian Bureau of Statistics — household numbers. Historical household estimates and base-year estimates from successive releases, with interpolation, plus 2021-base household projections for 2022–2025. See the ABS methodology. Mixed source vintages and the earlier rough estimates remain limitations.Historical sources retained in the project: ABS Social Trends 2002; ABS Social Trends 2005; base estimates from the 2006–2031, 2011–2036 and 2016–2041 household publications. The optional early-growth proxy uses the ABS Year Book 2001 historical household/dwelling profile, calibrated to the 1991 household estimate; raw Census dwelling counts are not treated as interchangeable with resident-household estimates.
Reserve Bank of Australia — mortgage rates.F5 indicator lending rates, F6 housing lending rates and F5 series-break notes, from the single 7 September 2026 capture.Series: FILRHLBVS standard variable; FILRHLBVD discounted variable; FILRHL3YF three-year fixed; FLRHOFP new owner-occupier principal-and-interest; FLRHOOP existing owner-occupier principal-and-interest; FILRSAVOPI older existing-variable sample.
Historical local price records. The optional local-price chart uses Abelson and Chung’s original historical tables, the 2023 Abelson–Joyeux tables, and their 2025 update. These reproduce earlier Valuers-General, REIA, CBA/HIA and later ABS price data. Sources’ own estimates are marked separately. This is not a replacement national-mean series.
Australian Bureau of Statistics — Household Income and Wealth, 2019–20 — Graph 1, weekly household income.Open source11 survey-period observations per gross-income measure. Convert with CPI, then multiply by 52 for an annual equivalent; no missing-year interpolation.
Australian Bureau of Statistics — Consumer Price Index, December 2020 — long-term quarterly series.Open sourceFinancial-year mean of four quarterly indexes. Undo the SIH publication’s constant-dollar adjustment; this is a derived nominal estimate, not a recaptured nominal income workbook.
Australian Bureau of Statistics — Housing Occupancy and Costs, 2019–20 — Graph 3.Open sourceOwner-with-mortgage and private-landlord renter groups; retain published ratios, do not recalculate them from whole-population income.
Australian Bureau of Statistics — SIH User Guide — income concepts.Open sourceGross, disposable, current, annual and equivalised income are different concepts. A 52-week equivalent is not measured annual receipts.
Australian Bureau of Statistics — SIH User Guide — housing costs.Open sourcePublished costs include rent, general/water rates and qualifying housing-loan repayments. Mortgage principal is included. Not complete ownership costs.
Australian Bureau of Statistics — SIH User Guide — historical information.Open sourceChanging income standards, survey collection, population weights and collection mode affect comparability. No backward or forward imputation.
Australian Bureau of Statistics — SIH comparison with Australian Systems of National Accounts.Open sourceAggregate income and wealth reconciliations; not per-household medians, not property sale prices.
Australian Bureau of Statistics — SIH User Guide — data item list and comparison workbooks.Open sourceVariable definitions, coverage and aggregate reconciliation evidence. The data-item list is not household microdata.
Australian Bureau of Statistics — Average Weekly Earnings, Australia, 1941–1990, catalogue 6350.0.Open source1981–82 late-year original full-time adult ordinary-time observations in the display reference. Full 1981–90 Table 3 persons data retained as supporting source records. Male-only Table 2 is NOT substituted for all persons.
Commonwealth Superannuation Corporation / ABS — Average Weekly Ordinary Time Earnings — published reference rates.Open sourceCSC’s published ABS full-time adult ordinary-time reference. CSC describes its rate as trend-based; this is a published-vintage reference, not a fresh single-vintage ABS original series. Period labels are retained, not mistaken for a whole-year average.
Australian Bureau of Statistics — Average Weekly Earnings, November 2025.Open sourceThe published trend full-time adult ordinary-time value of $2,050.10 checks the 2025 CSC reference. Original $2,051.10 is not a second chart series.
Australian Bureau of Statistics — Average Weekly Earnings — methodology, November 2025.Open sourceBefore-tax employee earnings; ordinary-time versus overtime and compositional change; not household income, median pay or a worker’s actual annual receipts.
The project checks calculations, missing values, rate coverage and consistency between the displayed and exported numbers. Those checks do not make reconstructed inputs exact or independently verify every original economic observation.
To cite a comparison, name Rate Challenge, Australian Housing Affordability Explorer, 1980–2025, include the data release date, selected measures and years, and retain the term, rate choices and estimates or future assumptions. Copy citation and Share view include the selected settings. Chart images and selected CSV downloads include source context; the index and original values remain separate fields.
Please link to the published explorer when sharing its figures. Original ABS, BIS/FRED and RBA source terms still apply; this page does not grant a new licence to upstream data. Excluded costs, data gaps and scenarios should not be stripped from a quoted result.