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Daily example: $600,000 · 80% LVR · Owner-occupied · Variable · P&I · Purchase

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Property Market Analysis

Part 1: The Rising Cost of Getting into an Australian Home

Part 1 of our housing affordability history: how Australian home values, incomes, deposits and mortgage repayments changed, with charts and international comparisons.

Published By David Warburton
Home values and household income, indexed to 100 in 2000. By 2025, home values reach about 500 and income about 284. Home values before 2012 are reconstructed estimates.
Housing affordability series · Part 1 of 10

Rate Challenge is an Australian mortgage broking business. For this series, we’ve brought together housing, income and lending data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, Reserve Bank and Bank for International Settlements, alongside government archives, legislation and historical housing research. We’ve examined Australia, the UK, US, Canada and New Zealand, producing our own charts and calculations. The result is a ten-part history of Australian housing affordability, from the postwar shortage to the end of 2025. 139 127

What it took to buy in 2025

In 2025, the national average home value was about $1.04 million. A buyer putting down a 20 per cent deposit would have needed roughly $209,000, leaving a mortgage of about $835,000. Stamp duty, legal fees and other purchase costs would be additional.

The example uses the average value of houses and other dwellings in our Housing Affordability Explorer. Prices vary by property and location.

In the Explorer’s historical estimates, the home value represented about 3.3 times average annual household income in 2000. By 2025, that had risen to 5.8 times. Income had grown, but home values had grown much faster. 127

Home values and household income, indexed to 100 in 2000. By 2025, home values reach about 500 and income about 284. Home values before 2012 are reconstructed estimates.View larger chart ↗
Each line starts at 100 in 2000, showing growth before inflation adjustment. Earlier home values are estimates; income is averaged after tax and before interest. 127

What the mortgage costs

In 2021, the average rate on new owner-occupier principal-and-interest loans was 2.36 per cent. In 2024, it was 6.20 per cent, using rounded annual averages from Reserve Bank data. 72

On the mortgage in our example, repaid over 30 years, those rates produce monthly repayments of about $3,240 and $5,120 — a difference of roughly $1,880 a month. 72

The same $835,480 mortgage over 30 years costs about $3,240 a month at 2.36 per cent, or $5,120 at 6.20 per cent. These are rate scenarios, using 2021 and 2024 annual average rates.View larger chart ↗
Illustration: the same loan and term at each rate, excluding fees. This compares rates, rather than following one borrower through time. 72

Variable-rate borrowers can see their repayments rise as lenders change their rates. Those on fixed rates can face the adjustment when the fixed period ends. 20

Lower rates can ease those repayments. They can also give buyers more borrowing power, bringing more money into the housing market. 41

How the path into a home changed

In 1944, while the Second World War was still being fought, the Commonwealth Housing Commission estimated Australia’s housing shortage at about 300,000 homes. 1

The following year, Ben Chifley’s Labor government introduced the Commonwealth–State Housing Agreement, providing federal finance for the states to build rental housing. 1 2

In 1956, Robert Menzies’s Coalition government set aside part of the agreement’s funding for private home building through building societies and other approved institutions. 4 24

Home ownership spread through the postwar years. About 53 per cent of households owned their home in 1947, rising to 70 per cent in 1961, according to historical figures reported by the Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute. That broad expansion cannot be attributed to any one housing programme. 3

Decades later, changes to the financial system altered how much buyers could borrow. Deregulation widened access to loans in the 1980s. In the 1990s, falling inflation, lower interest rates and more competition between lenders made larger loans manageable on the same income. 6 41

That also meant more money competing for homes. The Reserve Bank identifies cheaper and more readily available finance as an important contributor to higher debt and prices, particularly where new housing failed to keep pace with demand. 41

Prices before and after inflation

Between the final quarters of 2000 and 2025, Australia’s property-price index rose about 398 per cent before inflation adjustment. After removing the general rise in consumer prices, the increase was about 152 per cent. 14

The adjustment changes the comparison with other countries, too. Australia had the largest rise before inflation among the five countries we examined. After inflation, New Zealand was ahead. 14

Residential property-price growth from 2000 Q4 to 2025 Q4 before and after consumer inflation: Australia 397.9 and 151.8 per cent; New Zealand 392.8 and 163.6; Canada 304.4 and 136.3; United Kingdom 208.9 and 61.7; United States 196.1 and 59.0.View larger chart ↗
Country Before inflation adjustment After inflation adjustment
Australia 397.9% 151.8%
New Zealand 392.8% 163.6%
Canada 304.4% 136.3%
United Kingdom 208.9% 61.7%
United States 196.1% 59.0%

BIS figures retained on 12 September 2026; 2000 Q4–2025 Q4 growth. Index coverage differs. Affordability also depends on incomes and mortgage costs. 14 15

Over the next nine chapters, we follow that history through the homes governments financed, the grants they offered and the lending rules they rewrote. It starts in 1945, with a country short of homes and a plan to get them built.

Data note: The 2000 home value is modelled, not a recorded national average. Income includes non-cash items; its 2025 average uses a projected household count. Explorer figures use annual averages; international figures use quarter ends. Methods and sources.

Research and calculations: Rate Challenge.

Sources for this article
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